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Manny Pacquiao Vs. Yordenis Ugas: Odds, Records, Prediction

By News Creatives Authors , in Business , at August 21, 2021

Though the boxing world isn’t getting the potentially scintillating Manny Pacquiao vs. Errol Spence showdown on Saturday night, the consolation prize should still be a good one. That’s because Pacquiao now will face the tough Yordenis Ugas in a fight that will determine just how good Pacquiao still is at 42 years old. Here’s everything you need to know about Manny Pacquiao vs. Yordenis Ugas, including the odds, their records and a prediction on who will win.

After Spence dropped out of the fight with an eye injury earlier this month, Ugas, who was already training for a bout on the undercard, stepped in to replace him. Pacquiao doesn’t think the last-minute change will be an issue for him, even though Spence is a southpaw and Ugas is a more traditional right-handed boxer.

“It only took me two days to adjust to fighting Ugas,” Pacquiao said. “I have fought a lot of right-handed fighters before. It would have been harder switching from preparing for a right-hander to a southpaw. Most of my opponents have been right-handed, so there’s nothing to worry about.”

What Pacquaio backers could be worried about, though, is the fact that he’s ancient by boxing standards and the fact he hasn’t fought in 25 months. Yes, he’s one of the top-two boxers of his generation, but at some point, he’s going to get too old. Right? Maybe not.

As trainer Freddie Roach told me earlier in training camp, “He got here in shape. … His footwork is still really good. He’s still really light on his feet. He can bounce around that ring for 12 rounds, no problem at all.”

Since then, Roach has talked about how great Pacquiao has looked in the gym and that he doesn’t look like a dude in his early 40s. Roach has even talked about how Pacquiao could knock out Ugas, something Ugas has scoffed at (considering Pacquiao has scored just one KO at 147 pounds and Ugas has never been stopped and only has hit the canvas twice in 30 pro fights, Ugas is correct to be a skeptic).

Ugas, though, is a legitimate opponent. He’s probably not as dangerous as Spence, and he’s not going to walk in the ring as the betting favorite. But if Pacquiao gets old overnight or if he simply has a mediocre outing, Ugas is good enough to beat him.

“The experience that Ugas has from the Olympics and over 500 amateur bouts is going to be the most important thing for him in this fight,” Ismael Salas, Ugas’ trainer, said. “We’ve been on a roll for these last 12 fights since Ugas has started working with me. We’re going to keep it going on Saturday.

Here’s more info on the Manny Pacquiao vs. Yordenis Ugas showdown that U.S. viewers can watch for $74.99 on Fox PPV beginning at 9 p.m. ET.

Manny Pacquiao vs. Yordenis Ugas odds

Pacquiao was about a 2/1 underdog to Spence, but since Ugas replaced him, Pacquiao has been at least a 3/1 favorite. At this point, Pacquiao is -330 (bet $330 to win $100), while Ugas is a +275 underdog (earn $275 on a $100 wager), but if you like Ugas to spring the upset, you missed an opportunity to get him at +300 earlier this week (Pacquiao was -375 at one point).

If you like Pacquiao, I’d avoid the money line and just go with him to win by decision at +120. If you think Ugas could score a Juan Manuel Marquez-like knockout on Pacquiao, you could get him by stoppage at +1500. Even if you think Pacquiao will win, that’s a good bet on which to wager a small amount.

If you were looking for a fun parlay for this weekend’s action of boxing (and this is only for entertainment purposes), I might take Pacquiao to beat Ugas by decision at +120, Robert Guerrero to beat Victor Ortiz at -163 and Carlos Castro to beat Oscar Escandon at -1200. That would pay out a $284 profit on a $100 wager.

Manny Pacquiao vs. Yordenis Ugas records

Pacquiao’s record of 62-7-2 (39 KOs) is an outstanding one. And even at an advanced age, he continues to be a top-five welterweight in the world. Since falling to Floyd Mayweather in 2015, he beat Timothy Bradley, stopped Lucas Matthysse, easily went through Adrien Broner and then overcame Keith Thurman. He lost a fight that the judges should have given him vs. Jeff Horn, and though he’ll never be the Pacquiao of old, he hasn’t shown yet that he’s an old Pacquiao.

Like Salas said, Ugas has been on a roll for the past half-decade. Though his 26-4 (12 KOs) record isn’t eye-catching, he’s been fantastic since losing two straight and then taking more than two years off. Since his return in 2016, he’s beaten contenders like Jamal James, Thomas Dulorme and Omar Figueroa Jr. In his highest profile fight, though, he fell by split decision to Shawn Porter in a fight that many observers think Ugas actually won.

Manny Pacquiao vs. Yordenis Ugas prediction

There’s no doubt that Ugas could beat Pacquiao, but however many times I think it over, I just don’t think it will happen. Ugas has never topped somebody as talented as Pacquiao, and I just don’t see it happening here. Pacquiao will win by unanimous decision, somewhere in the 116-112 range.

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